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Forecast for the January Employment Data

Nonfarm payroll employment is expected to rise by 220,000 for the month of January, which would mark a slight deceleration from what we saw late last year. Private employment is expected to rise by...

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A Primer for February Employment

We expect payroll employment to rise by 210,000 jobs in February, less than we initially expected because unusually harsh winter weather and work stoppages at West Coast ports disrupted everything from...

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A Primer on March Employment Data

We expect to see payroll employment rise by 235,000 in March, a bit of a moderation compared to the pace we saw at the start of the year. Hiring of teachers and other public sector workers is expected...

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Employment Expected to Pick Up

We expect payroll employment to rise by 220,000 in April after adding a negligible 120,000 in March. Private payrolls are forecast to account for 215,000 of those gains. Much, of course, will depend...

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Employment Report: August is a Quirky Month

Payroll employment is expected to rise a slightly tepid 175,000 in August after averaging more than 240,000 for the previous twelve months. Private employment is expected to increase by 170,000. We...

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Primed for Disappointment?

Payroll employment is expected to rise by 165,000 in October, a little better than September but still well below the almost 200,000 per month average for the last year. Private payrolls are expected...

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Employment Data Forecast for November

Payroll employment is expected to rise by 185,000 in November after surging a surprising 271,000 in October. That would bring trend job creation close to a 200,000 norm. Private employment is expected...

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